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Offensive Line Risers and Fallers – Week 2

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Through two weeks of the season, I take a look at which offensive lines have impressed and which have face planted. There have been significant injuries in these two weeks, but luckily for most teams they have enough depth to be a serviceable enough group. One group in here, however, has had multiple significant injuries and it will be an uphill battle for them the rest of the season.

⇗ 8 Spots to #16: Los Angeles Rams

Last season the Rams looked lethargic and beat down. Per footballoutsider.com they had 4.27 adjusted line yards, which ranked 19th in the NFL. However, they ranked 26th in stuffed percentage with 21%, which is how often the running back gets tackled at or behind the line of scrimmage. They did lead the league with only 22 sacks given up, but I would bet that a good part of that is Sean McVay’s play calling and play action rate. Given Andrew Whitworth’s and Rob Havenstein’s age and failing to draft a lineman until the 7th round, I had them ranked at #24 going into the season. It didn’t really hit me how good they were actually doing until @DynoGameTheory and @DaBeezyBFF mentioned it on @TheUndraftedFF.

Their game against the Cowboys was not super impressive, but solid. They only averaged 3.8 yards per carry on 40 attempts, but only allowed 1 sack. Their Week 2 against the Eagles was more impressive to me against a superior defensive front. Again, they only allowed one sack, but averaged a much better 4.9 yards per carry on 39 carries. Starter Joseph Noteboom (LG) did suffer an injury that sent him to IR, otherwise this group likely would’ve been top 15. Their next two weeks they draw the Bills and the Giants who both have 6 sacks, but allow 4 plus adjusted line yards. Both of these should be good matchups for them, especially on the ground. Hopefully we finally see someone *cough* Cam Akers *cough* take the reigns of this backfield.

⇗ 5 Spots to #3: Green Bay Packers

Losing Bryan Bulaga has seemed like a bigger deal than it actually was. He played less than 85% of snaps in 2019, which actually was an improvement over 2018 and especially 2017. The Packers signed Rick Wagner in free agency to replace him, but he didn’t actually start until Week 2. This was due to Lane Taylor and Billy Turner winning the camp battle for Right Guard and Right Tackle. As we know, Lane Taylor has unfortunately torn his ACL and is out for the season. Billy Turner also has yet to play a snap in 2020. This all may sound bad, but the Packers are one of the teams with very solid depth.

Turner is back to practicing in full and I expect him to go back to his 2019 spot at Right Guard, which leaves Wagner to start at Right Tackle. As for the season so far, they have faced some very sub-par defenses in Minnesota and Detroit, but having a 5.70 adjusted line yards and only giving up 1 sack is damn impressive. Week 3 will be a very good test for them, as they go up against the Saints. If they can dominate once again, this group will challenge for top 2, ironically with the same team they are playing.

⇙ 6 Spots to #25: Minnesota Vikings

In the write-up for this season I said that the loss of Kevin Stefanski might loom large for this group, and I believe we are seeing that from the start. They have given up 5 sacks this year already, and if they keep this pace up it would put them at 40 sacks on the year. 40 was the average for the NFL in 2019. According to footballoutsiders.com they have 5.14 adjusted line yards, but Dalvin Cook is only averaging 4.3 yards per carry on 26 carries.

Their schedule doesn’t get much better until Week 6, and even then it’s against the Falcons, which means the game script will not be in their favor. I see them continuing to hover between #22 and #26 for me barring any big injuries. To make matters worse, Pat Elflein will be on the shelf until at least Week 5 with a thumb injury. Their biggest bright spot so far has been Brian O’Neill (RT) who ranks as the #9 overall and #6 run blocking tackle per PFF.

⇙ 10 Spots to #20: Pittsburgh Steelers

I feel for Zach Banner and Stefen Wisniewski here. Banner had worked hard and earned a starting role with the Steelers after bouncing around the league a bit. He was a 4th round pick of the Colts in 2017 draft and spent time with the Browns and the Panthers before landing with the Steelers in 2018. Wisniewski was looking for another shot at some bling after being apart of the previous two Super Bowl teams with the Chiefs and the Eagles. Unfortunately, both went down in Week 1 with Banner tearing his ACL and Wisniewski suffering a pectoral injury. This was after David DeCastro had been ruled out with a knee injury.

DeCastro was also scratched for Week 2 which left them to start Matt Feiler (LG), Kevin Dotson (RG), and Chukwuma Okorafor (RT). So far they have only given up 3 sacks, which is partly due to the return of Ben Roethlisberger getting the ball out in an average of 2.4 seconds according to nextgenstats.com, but their run game leaves a lot to be desired. The return of DeCastro should help them a ton in the run game as they look to lean on it this week against the Texans.

⇙ 12 Spots to #30 New York Giants

Admittedly I had too high of hopes for this group going into the season. Granted they played the most aggressive defense in Week 1, but their adjusted line yards were absolutely abysmal at -.15. Yes, they were negative. They have also allowed 7 sacks this year so far, which puts them on pace for an insane amount of 56 for the year. This would be 2 less than the most sacks allowed from 2019.

Week 3 against the 49ers has gotten a little better after they lost Nick Bosa and Solomon Thomas, but this front is still nothing to look past. They will get better as the season goes on. Andrew Thomas will settle in, they will get their play design figured out, and they will develop familiarity with each other. For now though, things do not look good for the Giants.

You can find the full offensive line rankings here. For questions, feel free to reach out to me @BradWireFF, or any of our team @TheUndroppables.

2on1 Episode 39 | Week 3 with Chalk

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The Commish Tommy Mo is back for Week 3 with a great guest, our friend, Chalk. Chalk joins 2on1 to talk about The Undroppables, his history, and how it all started. Chalk also shares some great deeeeeep adds from waivers for this week, studs, duds, starts, and sits. We went longer than planned but you always do when talking with friends.

The Undrafted | Gabriel Davis Rocket Ship

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Scott brings on Beezy B once again for an episode so good that we had to break it into 2 parts. The guys discuss FAAB spending with the injuries that tore through the league. Scott & Beezy then go through Scott’s 32 team NFL power rankings and list players that are dynasty relevant on each team. On Part 2 of this two-part series, the guys go through teams 16-1. Tune in or be tuned out!

A Few Flex Plays (Fantasy Football 2020 – Week 3)

Welcome to The Undroppables weekly “Flex” play article, keying in on the flex suggestions for your league. As stated in previous articles, this article is written to help with the tough start options. If you boast a very strong team full of star caliber players, do not overthink it and switch. Lock in your studs and go with the safe points. For those not as lucky, we got you covered.

Our consensus panel now boasts a record of 6-2 as we head into week 3. To send your questions for future weeks, you can tag me @FantasyInAFew on Twitter.

Let’s get it going!

Flex Plays of the Week:

Shallow League Flex Plays (10 or fewer teams)

Allen Robinson @ Atlanta Falcons

Allen Robinson was seen as a top 10 WR heading into the year, yet two weeks in we have received consecutive dud performances and many may be questioning his outlook moving forward. That said, I am willing to go back to the well with him as he is taking on the Falcons which have been in two shoot-out games with a lot of passing thus far and I anticipate this game will be more of the same. Robinson should come out looking more like what we saw in 2019 rather than his 2020 start.

Leonard Fournette @ Denver Broncos

With Denver plagued by injuries and often playing from behind, this a positive run match-up. The Broncos have given up back -to-back 100+ yard rushers. Enter Fournette who took more control of the Tampa Bay job last week. I believe he will be given more of the ground work this week and further his grasp on the lead role. With that opportunity, this match-up could produce yet another 100+ yard rusher.

Standard League Flex Plays (12 teams)

James Conner vs Houston Texans

Similar to the Broncos, the Texans have been getting gashed on the ground. Conner looks primed for a big week especially with Tomlin preferring to run with mainly one RB. Last week the Ravens team as a whole ran for 223 yards and 2 TDs on the Texans. CEH had 138 and a TD the week prior. With a full bill of health, I like the match-up for Conner in Week 3 and would expect at least 80 yards and a TD.

Evan Engram vs San Francisco 49ers

Engram has burned many rosters these first two weeks but should look to rebound against the injury riddled 49ers. With Sterling Shepard and Saquon Barkley officially out, the inside looks should be heavily in Engram’s favor. With two straight games of around 8 targets, I actually think Engram could see 10+ targets with the injuries. The combination of volume plus match-up makes him an easy plus side play.

Deeper League Flex Plays (14 or more teams)

Joshua Kelley vs Carolina Panthers

In Week 2 we saw Kelley take a lot of work on the ground and even out carried Ekeler 23-16. Heading into Week 3, the Chargers are taking on one of the worst run defenses in the league. This is a match-up that should be in favor of LAC, which should give Kelley the opportunity once again.

N’Keal Harry vs Las Vegas Raiders

The chemistry between Cam & Harry is certainly developing. Edelman’s career game seemed to overshadow the Week 2 success that Harry showed. Yet Harry actually saw more targets in that same game (12). Of those 12 he brought in 8 which is the improvement you love to see. Las Vegas has been in some high scoring games and this could be another one with Harry having the opportunity for more volume. Harry is a solid play in all ppr formats.

Boom or Bust Flex Plays:

T.Y. Hilton vs New York Jets

Hilton faces another positive match-up after seeing little production in Week 2. Against the Vikings, TY had a huge touchdown drop that could have changed his entire weeks output. Therefore, I believe he is a great boom play this week. If he and Rivers can finally find that connection that we heard about in training camp it could be a great play.

Antonio Gibson @ Cleveland Browns

Gibson’s snap percentage and opportunity continues to increase. As seen in the tweet below from @JackMiller02, Washington is trying to get him more and more involved. If you need a risk/reward play you could give him a start hoping he is incorporated more but be warned he could be TD dependent.

DeSean Jackson vs Cincinnati Bengals

With Reagor out due to the thumb injury, I believe Jackson takes majority of the looks that were going Reagor’s direction. The Tight Ends and Sanders will still be the main focus, but with that said Jackson will likely see at least his average 8 targets or more. This play will be hoping on the boom week that he connects for a TD.

The Undroppables Survey Says:

As always, we go back to Twitter asking for your hardest flex questions. Below are some of those questions we received with a panel of 6 Undroppables bringing you our consensus votes for Week 3:

The Undroppables Consensus: Corey Davis (5 votes)

Reason: AJB looks to be out again. The Vikings defense has been terrible thus far and with Davis as the WR1, I like his upside –@BpoFSU

The Undroppables Consensus: TJ Hockenson (4 votes) (L Thomas held the 2 votes)

Reason: Hockenson is showing as a big yardage tight end with red zone upside. Although the targets look nice with Thomas, outside of a TD Week 1 the production has been pretty poor. With Golladay back, I think Hock sees more opportunity across the middle. –@FantasyInAFew

The Undroppables Consensus: Terry McLaurin (6 votes)

Reason: I feel like Hunt’s usage is game flow dependent and isn’t as predictable with which Browns team shows up. I know what I’m getting with McLaurin –@TheRealAdam_H

The Undroppables Consensus: Leonard Fournette (6 Votes)

Reason: Hunt is following up a huge performance by playing against the stout WSH defensive line giving up 3.3 ypc. Fournette is following up, as the likely lead back, against a Denver team giving up 4.3 ypc on the ground.  –@fantasydukes

The Undroppables Consensus: Terry McLaurin (3 votes) & JT (6 votes)

(Conner held 2 votes. Hollywood held 1 vote)

Reason: McLaurin managed a 7/125/1 statline against Patrick Peterson convincing me he is match-up proof. Cleveland secondary has been the 6th most generous towards WRs thus far.

For SF I would normally go QB but I see JT being fed a ton. It’s hard to trust Trubisky, who is trending towards old tendencies and I don’t like the match-up for Carr against a NE team looking for revenge after Week 2. –@Masterjune70 

The Undroppables Consensus: Tyler Boyd (4 votes) (Kelley held 2 votes)

Reason: I like the chemistry Burrow & Boyd have shown thus far. I think he’ll be in line for good production against a so-so Eagles secondary. I like Boyd’s TD upside just as much as the other options –@awlsabermetrics

In Summary:

To be featured and get your flex questions answered each week feel free to tag or DM @FantasyInAFew throughout the week. For last minute game day decisions, check out “Under the Wire” on the Fantasy Football Chat Discord.

See you next week!

Fantasy Hot Seat | Week 3

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Hoarding is a global pandemic that touches the lives of many. Not just the person involved, but also their families. The same thing is happening in fantasy football every single week. Fantasy managers are continuing to hoard players that don’t deserve their love and admiration. They certainly cause health and safety issues, and ultimately they cause you to lose your fantasy games (and even attract fleas.) The Fantasy Hot Seat is designed to help you realize which players are no longer worth hoarding on your roster.

Hot Seat Report Card

Let’s take a look at how we are doing with our hot seat so far. We will define the following: “The Hot Seat” will be players who we spoke about that continue to stink it up. “The Warm Seat” will be players who have been so-so up until this point. Maybe they lack consistency, perhaps they had a big game and then a dud. They are neither Hot nor Cold and should probably remain on your team, but you could make a case for trading them too. Finally, Cold Seat will be players we spoke about that have turned it around and look like mainstays on your weekly rosters.

Baker Mayfield: Hot Seat

Baker produced well in Week 2, scoring twice and being very efficient. However, 219 yards against a bad defense is just not getting it done. He finished as QB20 in Week 2 and is still not startable yet.

Rob Gronkowski: Hot Seat

Gronk received just one target with 0 receptions last Sunday against the Panthers and saw only 42 snaps, 23 of which he was required to block.

Zach Ertz: Hot Seat

Ertz is getting the targets (seven per game), caught more passes, and had more yards in Week 2 vs. Week 1, but didn’t find the end zone in Week 2. While players aren’t going to score every week, we’re going to need more than TE21 for us to start him comfortably.

Cooper Kupp: Hot Seat

Kupp caught five passes for 81 yards on Sunday vs. the Eagles, but his teammates Robert Woods and Tyler Higbee found the end zone. We mentioned last week that Kupp seems to be touchdown dependent, and that concerns me moving forward.

OBJ: Warm Seat

OBJ shined on Thursday, beating a bad secondary a couple of times to four receptions for 74 yards and a score. We need him to do it more consistently to be an every-week starter, but he looked good.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire: Warm Seat

After being RB1 in week one, CEH finished as RB23 in Week 2. A good portion of that was due to the Chiefs having to play from behind, so he didn’t get the same number of attempts. However, going from 25 attempts to 10 is a significant drop-off and one we need to watch.

A.J. Brown: Warm Seat

Brown had five catches for 39 yards in Week 1 and was injured in Week 2. His bone bruise may take him out of action this week, so I will give him the benefit of the doubt and put him on the warm seat for now, although eight fantasy points and WR83 is not a good look for someone drafted in the first four rounds.

Aaron Rodgers: Warm Seat

Aaron Rodgers resorted to the old ways that got him on the Hot Seat to begin with, throwing for only 240 yards and with a completion percentage of 60%. He scored twice, and the team was winning big on the legs of Aaron Jones, but he still threw 33 passes and didn’t look very good in Week 2.

The Fantasy Hot Seat: Week 3

Now that we’ve discussed the past players, let’s jump into Week 3 and discuss some of the players that can cause itching and, in some cases, irritable bowel syndrome.

Austin Hooper – TE, Cleveland Browns

For the third week in a row, a Cleveland Brown makes it to our Hot Seat, and I could make a case for a fourth (Jarvis Landry, WR49). Cleveland’s only players are Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, both of which are in the top-10 of fantasy RBs. Hooper has been a significant disappointment through the first two weeks of the season, currently sitting at TE36. His teammate David Njoku (who’s on IR) has more fantasy points on roughly 100 fewer snaps.

The biggest issue with Hooper right now is his lack of routes run. In 2019, Austin Hooper played 724 total snaps for the Falcons but only stayed to block on 213 of them (29%). In 2020, Hooper has played 113 snaps, with 55% of them as a blocker. When I watch the Browns tape, I see the Browns (mainly Baker Mayfield) play the game as if this is Madden. He calls hike, runs around a lot, and is always looking to throw deep. For players like Hooper, this isn’t very good. In Week 2, Baker had the 5th highest aDOT at 10.2 yards. Baker threw the ball 24 times and had 25% of them go for more than ten yards downfield.

Hooper was drafted as a borderline starting TE according to FF Calculator (TE13) and, at this point, is nothing more than a streaming flex option. Hopefully he can turn it around, but if he’s going to have zero opportunity to catch a pass on 55% of his plays, the numbers don’t look right.

Joe Mixon – RB, Cincinnati Bengals

Much like CEH in a previous column, this is not an indication of my hatred for Mixon. It’s entirely the opposite. I am on record having said he would finish as RB1, and he’s a Sooner, so obviously I am high on him. However, Mixon is currently not producing at an RB1 level, let alone THE RB1, and a lot of that has to do with his putrid offensive line. The Bengals have the 12th worst run-blocking unit and the 6th worst pass-blocking unit. Joe Mixon has seemingly been hit behind the line of scrimmage more than any other back in the league. Mixon currently ranks 53rd in YCO/A with 2.34 and has less than 2.5 yards after contact on 21 of his 35 carries this year.

Another reason why Mixon is on the hot seat is his lack of real opportunity. Mixon had 46 snaps played on Thursday Night Football with running back Gio Bernard getting 42. While splitting time on the field isn’t that much of an issue, he only played 50% of the team’s offensive snaps in Week 2.

Even worse, these two backs split the number of carries inside the five-yard line, which shows that Mixon is not a lock for work at the goal line. Mixon did catch four passes for 40 yards in Week 2, which is up from his Week 1 performance, but all of them came in the first half; he was seemingly non-existent in the second half. You can’t afford to bench Mixon just yet, but you may need to look for someone who will overpay for him before it’s too late.

Austin Ekeler –  RB, Los Angeles Chargers

Another team with what can only be described as an identity crisis, the Los Angeles Chargers have a problem on their hands. Well, I guess they don’t, but fantasy owners who put a lot of draft stock into Ekeler sure do. Through two weeks, Ekeler has been efficient. He’s caught all five of his targets for 58 yards, and he is currently averaging more than five yards per carry. However, he has yet to find the end zone, and much like Joe Mixon above, he has a bit of an issue splitting time with Joshua Kelley. Kelley has had the same amount of carries as Ekeler despite having rushed for less than 3.6 yards per each and is the only running back to have scored a TD.

Another interesting point to note is that while the two have the same amount of carries (35), Kelley has twice as many carries inside the red zone and has four carries inside the five compared to Ekeler’s zero. My biggest concern with Ekeler at the moment is the number of targets he has received through two games. While his numbers are respectable (5 for 58), he is on pace to have only 40 targets in 2020 compared to 104 last season.

According to the guys on Unscripted, Philip Rivers threw the check down to his RBs on 8% of his passing attempts last year, 3% higher than league average. Tyrod Taylor has thrown to the check down on just 3.3% of his career attempts. If this continues, Ekeler will not come close to the RB1 status you hoped for, and its likely time to find a willing trade partner.

Quarterbacks Over The Age Of 40

We need to loop this into a group rather than just discussing one of them. I am talking about both Drew Brees and Tom Brady, who have looked pedestrian through the first two weeks of the season. According to FF Calculator, both Brees and Brady have a high impact on your fantasy team as they were drafted as the 7th and 8th QBs, respectively. Neither QB currently rank inside the top-12, and if you happen to be in some insane 20-team league like we are in The Club Championship, only Brady is considered a starter as QB19 (Brees QB24).

Let’s first look at Brees, who has one of the lowest aDOTs of his career at only 5.2 (34th in the league). Drew Brees’ current yards per attempt sits at 6.9, which is only inflated due to his 38-attempt Week 2 performance against the Raiders, where he played from behind a good portion of the game. This will mark only the second time in his entire career that he had a YPA less than 7.0 (2007) and is nearly a yard less than his career average.

Brees has had less than a 101.0 QB rating just three times since 2009 and is on pace to do it again. Brees holds back-to-back records of the best completion percentage in a season of any QB (currently sitting at 74.7%) but now has a completion percentage of 10 % points lower.

Tom Brady isn’t much different. Despite his aDOT being nearly 2 yards higher, his YPA is less than Brees at only 6.4. In Brady’s career, he has had less than 7.5 YPA just five times. Another troubling statistic is the number of turnovers Brady has (3 INTs & 2 Fumbles). Brady has never had a season with more than 12 interceptions and is currently on pace for 24. Brady is also on pace for one of his worst passing years in terms of yardage. In Brady’s career, he has thrown for less than 4,000 yards just three times. Once was his rookie year, another was 2008, where he missed the whole season due to injury only 11 attempts into Week 1. Brady’s current pace is a little more than 3,600 yards; pair that with his low TD and high INT rates, and we are looking at a QB who may have reached the end of his rope.

If you have more Fantasy Football questions and want to know if other players are on the Hot, Warm, or Cold Seat, hit me up at @JMan_FF on Twitter. You can also follow our team @TheUndroppables, and be sure to check out our updated redraft rankings to help you with rest of season trade ideas, as well as weekly rankings for start/sit decisions.