Home Blog Page 126

New Orleans Saints Offseason Breakdown

While the Saints didn’t have massive offseason changes, their additions through free agency and the draft still have significant fantasy implications for 2020 and beyond. Most importantly, Drew Brees agreed to a two-year, $50M deal, confirming that he will be back again this year. Despite Sean Payton’s constant praise of Taysom Hill, the Saints signed Jameis Winston to a cheap one-year, $1.1M contract to back up Brees. In order to boost their WR corps, the Saints signed Emmanuel Sanders to a two-year, $16M deal to complement Michael Thomas. In the draft, New Orleans bolstered their offensive line with their first round addition of Cesar Ruiz, and later acquired Jared Cook’s successor in the third round with Adam Trautman. With these additions, let’s project the Saints offense in 2020 and going forward in this New Orleans Saints Offseason Breakdown.

Offense: An Overview

The Saints’ offensive philosophy shouldn’t change much this year. Their head coach is still Sean Payton, their quarterback is still Drew Brees, and their key weapons Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara are still there. Last year, New Orleans was middle of the pack in terms of pass attempts and rush attempts, so volume should be sufficient to support fantasy options at both WR, TE, and RB. The Saints average 81.5 all purpose yards more per game at home than away, which is the second biggest home-road yardage split in the league, only behind the Dallas Cowboys. Much of this difference comes in the passing game, as the offense last year averaged 71.6 less passing yards per game when away. This means that Brees and auxiliary pass-catchers (not Michael Thomas) can be downgraded for fantasy if the Saints are not at home.

Quarterback

Drew Brees

Drew Brees was resigned this offseason to a two-year deal, and stands to pick up right where he left off. He has gained Emmanuel Sanders as an upgrade to the #2 WR position, however he has lost a deep threat in Ted Ginn Jr. (whose production had begun to deteriorate due to age). Overall, this change should be positive for Brees in a substantial way, and he should be valued as a low end QB1 in redraft leagues, having averaged over 24 points per game in four of the last five years in 6-point passing TD scoring. His home road splits are very severe, so drafting another QB in the late rounds to pair with Brees could be a strong strategy. He opens the year with the Raiders, Packers, Lions, and Chargers, and thus can be confidently started in weeks one and three (especially since the Lions lost Darius Slay). The Packers are not a frightening matchup, and Brees can definitely be started there, especially given that the matchup is at home. Despite the Chargers matchup being in the Superdome, their secondary and pass rush is one of the strongest in the league, so streaming the position in Week 4 could be a better option.

Jameis Winston

Jameis was signed to a one-year deal this offseason that serves as his audition for the starting job in New Orleans after Brees retires, or elsewhere as a free agent in 2021. He has had massive fantasy seasons in the past given his gunslinger style, however his turnovers and off-the-field issues have affected his appeal to GMs and front offices. Jameis is a definite hold or even buy in dynasty superflex/2QB leagues, but he is off the radar for redraft leagues.

Taysom Hill

Taysom Hill’s fantasy stock took a hit with the signing of Jameis Winston. Although many believed that Hill would never be the full-time starter for the Saints, there was always a small chance that this could happen. Although Jameis could leave to a different team, nevertheless Hill is at most a long shot for standalone QB value. Some sites are giving him dual-eligibility as a TE, however this still doesn’t make him relevant for redraft leagues. Taysom is a speculative stash in dynasty superflex/2QB leagues though.

Running Back

Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara is largely considered to be a disappointment last season… despite finishing as the RB9 in PPR leagues! Keep in mind Kamara missed two games in 2019 and was sub-100% health-wise for much of the season. Additionally, positive TD regression is a possibility, as he only scored 6 total touchdowns, with 4 of those coming in the final two weeks of the season. He is a top-tier RB1 in PPR leagues due to his high receiving volume and effectiveness around the goal-line, assuming that he is healthy.

Latavius Murray

Latavius Murray should split early-down work with Kamara and thus has bye-week fill in potential, especially in non-PPR scoring leagues. His effectiveness around the goal-line should help with his fantasy relevance as well. Additionally, he is one of the top handcuffs in fantasy, proven by his RB1 performances when Kamara was injured in weeks 7 and 8, posting 32 and 36.7 PPR points respectively in those weeks.

Ty Montgomery

Ty Montgomery was recently signed to a one-year contract with the Saints. His value is higher in leagues that reward receptions, however he is completely off the radar for redraft and for all but the deepest of dynasty leagues, as he is likely the #3 RB in the offense.

Wide Receiver

Michael Thomas

Michael Thomas was the WR1 last year in fantasy football… by 98.5 PPR points! Thomas would have been the QB2 or RB2 in scoring, with 374.6 PPR points. Michael Thomas is among the upper echelon of NFL receivers in real life, and that, combined with impeccable chemistry with Brees, leads to Michael Thomas being the WR1 for fantasy leagues in 2020, and a top dynasty asset going forward.

Emmanuel Sanders

Emmanuel Sanders was signed to a two-year contract with the Saints after impressing with the 49ers in his return from a torn achilles. Sanders should step into the #2 WR role for Brees, a valuable role that could return WR3 value in fantasy. Sanders should be treated as a solid WR4 for redraft leagues, however he is significantly downgraded in dynasty due to his age.

Tre’Quan Smith

Tre’Quan Smith has underperformed in his two years in the NFL, despite being given every opportunity to develop into the #2 WR for the Saints. At this point, Smith is an afterthought in redraft leagues and is a dynasty stash given his age and potential opportunity.

Ted Ginn Jr.

Ted Ginn Jr. was signed by the Chicago Bears to a one-year deal worth around $1.2M this offseason. He will be the #3 WR in a sub-par offense, and thus is off the radar for redraft and most dynasty leagues.

Tight End

Jared Cook

Jared Cook impressed last season, finishing as the TE7 in only 14 games played. Cook is still the unquestioned #1 TE in this offense, however he will face some added competition for targets from Emmanuel Sanders. Cook should still be treated as a lower-end TE1 for redraft leagues, with a downgrade in dynasty leagues given his age (33) and contract length remaining (one year).

Adam Trautman

Adam Trautman was drafted by the Saints in the third round of the 2020 NFL Draft. While his value for this year is negligible due to Jared Cook being ahead of him on the depth chart, he stands to be the heir to the #1 TE position in New Orleans next year when Cook’s contract expires. He is one of my favorite late-round rookie draft targets, especially in TE premium leagues. Although he is not important for redraft leagues, he is a very intriguing dynasty stash (especially if Jameis, a QB that historically likes to target the TE position, takes over for Brees in the upcoming years). He is my rookie TE1 by far, especially since this year’s TE class was fairly weak.

Final Thoughts

The Saints should be a team to target for fantasy production, with stars such as Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara leading the way. Brees finally has a quality #2 WR which should help the offense move more smoothly. Although the changes for New Orleans weren’t extensive, additions like Emmanuel Sanders, Jameis Winston, and Adam Trautman will have both short term and long term fantasy impacts.

 

Amateur Analytics | Percentage Fantasy Points from Scoring Plays

0

When I wrote my Devil’s Advocate post pouring some cold water on A.J. Brown’s 2020 hype, I noted that 48.7% of his fantasy points came on scoring plays. Of course, touchdowns are always going to  be a huge factor in a player’s end-of-season finish. But I see this as a way of factoring in the yardage gained on those scoring plays as well, using it as a way of understanding which players were more dependent on big plays (plays which are arguably less replicable) and which players relied largely on receptions and yards (indicators of consistency) to achieve their 2019 fantasy finish.

Methodology

Using touchdown data from pro-football-reference.com and Half-PPR scoring, I counted up the points gained from the receptions, yardage, and touchdowns for each of the Top 36 ranked wide receivers in 2019. For example, let’s use the WR1 from last year, Michael Thomas:

Raw data on Michael Thomas fantasy points from scoring plays in 2019.

For complete transparency, Michael Thomas scored 67.8 fantasy points on his 9 scoring plays. The formula is simple: (9 receptions * 0.5 + 93 yards * 0.1 + 9 touchdowns * 6). From there, I took 67.8 divided by Thomas’ Half-PPR point total to achieve the % of points Thomas earned on scoring plays: 67.8 / 300.1 = 22.6%

I applied this same process to the rest of the Top 36 wide receivers for 2019 to build the table below.

Results and Key Takeaways

Top 36 wide receivers and percentage points scored on scoring plays.

Now is as good of a time as any to add the disclaimer that this table does not factor in anything other than fantasy points scored on scoring plays (receiving and rushing) and the total half-PPR points that player scored in the 2019 season. It does not predict how a player’s talent will develop, it does not factor in their current QB situation, and it does not consider how their target share or efficiency will change in 2020.

Having said that, I believe the color-coding in this table can indicate some interesting things to consider when drafting wide receivers in 2020:

  • Darius Slayton is a high-risk / high-reward draft pick: Slayton made up over half his production on his eight touchdowns alone. Either he has a special connection with the young gunslinger Daniel Jones from their time working behind the starters in camp last season, or this touchdown number dips and we find it hard to start Slayton on a weekly basis in 2020.
  • If you’re betting on A.J. Brown and Kenny Golladay, you are betting on their talent leading to an increase in opportunity: Brown was surely a home-run hitter in fantasy lineups last year, and he started to feel more boom than bust given the wild efficiency Tannehill showed throwing the ball. Golladay is a more established talent, but he definitely benefited from deep-ball touchdowns. I think both of these guys have what it takes to improve on last year, but I am more confident in Golladay’s role in Detroit than Brown’s role on a run-first team in Tennessee.
  • There are plenty of reliable wide receivers with upside for more touchdowns in 2020, but no one is a better candidate for positive regression than Robert Woods: Woods had only had three touchdowns in the 2019 season, with one of them being rushing and his longest receiving touchdown coming from 11 yards out. Despite this, he STILL managed to rank as the WR17 in Half-PPR scoring. If it’s your pick in the middle rounds of your 2020 draft and all the sexy breakout candidates are off the board, target Woods as a comeback candidate for your squad.

Blake’s Predictive 2020 Wide Receiver Model

The Model Intro

Let’s get this out of the way, shall we?

This is not subjective. I did not put any personal interest, thought, or subjectivity into the outcomes that you are about to see below.

Now that we have gotten past the disclaimer, let’s dive into to how predictive modeling works, the foundation to the outcomes, and the top 50 players predicted by this model for the 2020 season.

Player predictability is something that is quite difficult in the world of football. It is so volatile and the ultimate team sport that predicting individuality can be quite difficult. However, we can get close, and this closeness can help you with a foundational pillar that can begin the process of building out your own rankings.

Ultimately, there are two steps to creating a predictive model on a PPG basis.

  1. Time Series analysis to create a player lifetime curve based on age and statistical evidence of breakouts
  2.  Regression analysis on seasons prior to predict future success.Both of these factors are combined to create my Wide Receiver Fantasy PPG Prediction Model. How do the results look? Below is an example of last season’s PPG, vs. the predicted PPG from the model.

Although there are some differences, it is extremely consistent in terms of the outcomes. So much so that it has an R^2 of 0.56. In terms of an analytical PPG model, you will be hard pressed to find one that is as close to this.

Now that you understand the legitimacy of the model, let’s jump into the projections for 2020, shall we?

Most of this is self explanatory, however, I’ll include a bit of commentary about players that may be surprising, and why they landed in the spot that they did.

2020 Model Results: Top 1-10

The top 10 already has some spicy headliners. Allen Robinson finding his way into WR4 may surprise people, but there is so much to like coming into this next season. He has elite red zone production, which actually has stickiness year over year. On top of his high volume, he posts an elite 2.8 yards per route run, which is one of the most predictive measures in terms of future wide receiver success.

Courtland Sutton is one that will surprise others as well. However, maybe it shouldn’t. Sure, the Broncos drafted additional weapons. However, it is tough for rookie receivers to come in and make a major impact. Additionally, like Robinson, Sutton was an elite red zone threat, posting an incredible 15 receptions around the red zone last season. No one that was brought in to Denver posts that kind of threat for red zone production. Additionally, a 13.5 yards per reception and 2.62 yards per route run were extremely productive for the position. Although WR8 may be ambitious, it’s not out of the realm of possibilities.

2020 Model Results: Top 11-20

The interesting results continue with Tyler Boyd entering the top 20 in the model slotted at WR17 with a predicted 13.5 fantasy points per game in 2020.

Maybe this shouldn’t come as a shock, however. Boyd had an incredible 147 targets last season while posting a very average 9.3 yards per reception and 2.01 yards per route run. It can be predicted along a time series that QB play will increase, comparatively to last season. Although A.J. Green is coming back into the fold, the model thinks that this could be a positive for Boyd, as even if his targets go down from last season, all efficiency metrics are pointed in the right direction.

2020 Model Results: Top 21-30

I think the more shocking aspect of the top 30 is more about who isn’t on it than who is on it at this point. Most of these players seem pretty stable and a really good bet for hitting the top 30.

Julian Edelman may be a bit of a shock, however. His stability over time has been proven and he really has no true target competition behind James White (assuming N’Keal Harry does not make the jump, which all of my models show that he will not.)

2020 Model Results: Top 31-40

Oh, look. Everyone’s favorite sleepers are sitting here in the 31-40 range. This is where a lot of the contradiction may come, analytically speaking vs. actual outcome. However, there are certain risk factors that do come with the players in this tier and that is factored into the model.

With Juju, we have never seen him be productive on his own as the Number 1. His talent group around him is all projected to take a step up, and how sure are we that Big Ben will look anything close to himself this next season? It’s understandable that he is a bit lower in these type of rankings, but this does feel extreme.

Additionally, A.J. Green is one that people are really excited about for this upcoming season. How many targets will there really be to go around for the Bengals in 2020? Additionally, how healthy is A.J. Green? These are risk factors that do play into his predicted PPG, as well as a yearly decline in predictive statistics over his last couple of healthy seasons.

I personally think Adam Thielen will outproduce this ranking. He has no target competition in an offense I believe will be very efficient.

2020 Model Results: Top 41-50

Not a lot to see here, not a lot to get excited about. The only thing I can really say about this group, and the WR group as a whole, is that it is DEEP.

This feels like a season where you can totally punt on WR heading into your redraft leagues. You should feel comfortable taking your first wide receiver in the fourth or fifth round this upcoming year, taking elite talents at the RB and TE positions earlier in the draft. You can feel really comfortable with a lot of these guys sitting in your WR2 spot in your redraft leagues, and you don’t have to spend high draft capital to acquire them.

Conclusion

Do not go and take these rankings and make them your own. That is not how this thing works. However, this gives you an extremely strong foundational footprint as to what the analytical side of evaluation is saying about these players, and where a realistic outcome for these guys may be.

Some of the rankings may seem far fetched, but keep in mind with a 55% success rate on ranking these, it is right more often than it is wrong. Most of the incorrect aspects of this come from confounding variables outside of the actual football production.

It’s important for us, as fantasy football players, to accept and absorb all sorts of knowledge. This can be one of the many tools you use to create, plan, and execute your strategy going into this next season.

Devil’s Advocate | Dalvin Cook

0

Every NFL season there are a number of players that gain massive hype and shoot up Fantasy Football draft boards, only to disappoint because their expectations were too high. Conversely, there’s a similar group of players who get pushed down in fantasy drafts and consequently become post-hype sleepers and late-round steals. My goal of this series is to look past the popular sentiment, share some statistics, and offer a contrarian opinion for you to consider before drafting a player too early or writing someone off too soon before your Fantasy Football drafts.

(AP Photo/Jose Juarez)

The Subject: Dalvin Cook – RB, Minnesota Vikings

Dalvin Cook was the early round steal of 2019 fantasy football drafts. If you took the plunge with him, it was because you knew he had dual-threat upside if he could stay healthy all season. While he didn’t make it a full season, 14 games of elite production still warrants the label of a Breakout year. Going into 2020, the question is this: Can Cook repeat on the success he had last year, and is his production worth the risk? Let’s discuss.

Per fantasydata.com, Dalvin Cook was the RB6 in 2019, with 292.4 PPR points. He outscored every wide receiver other than Michael Thomas.

A running back that can catch 50+ passes is nothing to fuck with. Much like Christian McCaffrey had said before his big payday, they should be seen as offensive weapons, not just running backs. For this reason, he is currently in the discussion as a top pick in the first round of 2020 fantasy drafts. In fact, the only reason Cook wasn’t the RB2 last season can be largely attributed to the fact that he only played 14 games, which brings us to my next point…

Per The Undoppables contributor Dr. Edwin Porras, SPT, Dalvin Cook is “…statistically one of the biggest injury risks among top-five fantasy running backs in the league. Theoretically, his chances of another ACL tear are approximately 20%. His chance of dislocation for one shoulder is 13%-26% and 40%-50% for the other.

You can read Dr. Porras’ full article on our site here, in which he dives deep into Cook’s injury history. From my own high school experience of dislocating/subluxating my shoulder on multiple occasions both on and off the football field, I was recommended by medical professionals to sit out the following week’s game to allow for recovery. It can be ‘toughed out’ per se, but as Dr. Porras points out, there’s always risk of re-injury, and that’s with or without surgery (disclaimer: completely non-medical and yet I believe logical take from myself here).

The best case scenario is he plays a full season, but given Cook’s injury history and the probability of these theoretical re-injuries, it’s not insane to project that Cook will miss games. If I’m being generous and say each shoulder injury would lead to only one missed game, combined with the 20% probability of him having another ACL tear would cause him to miss an entire season, I believe we can project Cook to miss 3.845 games in a 16 games season (.2*16 + .195*1 + .45*1 = 3.845). I don’t profess to be a master statistician either, so I welcome someone to challenge my math here, but if we are looking at the impact of multiple injuries on a player before the season even starts, 12 games seems to be a reasonable projection. This projection would of course change and reduce the farther along we are in the season with a healthy Dalvin Cook.

One way we see a full season from Dalvin Cook is if his workload is reduced.

Vikings Head Coach Mike Zimmer made it clear last season he does not care about your fantasy team. He did not care much about getting his wide receiver play makers Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs the ball as much as he did in 2018, and even with Kevin Stefanski moving on from Minneapolis, it seems little will change with Gary Kubiak moving from offensive advisor to offensive coordinator. The Vikings plan to be a ground and pound team and control the tempo of games. With that philosophy comes the need for a rotation in the backfield, and keeping guys fresh.

In 2019, second-string running back and third-round draft pick Alexander Mattison showed flashes of what he could do in the NFL, totaling 100 carries for 462 (4.62 YPC) and 10 receptions for 82 yards. Mattison is not going to be a world-beater for the Vikings, but could he have gained trust from Kubiak and earned more reps for himself going into 2020, and could that cap Cook’s ceiling further? My thought is yes.

Verdict

As I mentioned with Christian McCaffrey, the combination of talent and opportunity Dalvin Cook brings to the table makes him a locked and loaded 1st round pick in fantasy drafts. However, before you go chalk and select Cook at 1.04 or 1.05 overall, make sure you’ve appropriately assessed the risk in Cook compared to other players in the top tier. If the projected points he provides outweighs the injury risk for you, then by all means take him. For me, I want my 1st round pick to be available every week of the year, so I’m considering Michael Thomas in this slot.

 

 

Laviska Shenault Injury Outlook

By this point, fantasy football rookie drafts are well underway. If you have not begun the process someone that deserves a look in all formats is Laviska Shenault – WR Jacksonville Jaguars. Shenault captivated fantasy gamers during his sophomore breakout season in 2017. However, due to his injury history some have soured on the dynamic playmaker. Below I breakdown each of Lavika’s injuries and the impact they may or may not have on his career moving forward.

Turf Toe (Right Foot)

  • 2018
  • Missed 3 games
  • Required surgery in the offseason

Turf toe is a common injury that happens to football players (typically running-backs). It can occur when the player’s foot is plantarflexed (ankle pointing downward) against a firm surface, and an axial load is applied through the foot causing hyperextension at the metatarsophalangeal joints (MTP joints). Depending on the severity of the injury, the ligaments on the plantar surface (underside of the foot) are sprained or torn. Sprains are partial tears that heal with rest. Tears are complete ruptures and need surgery.

Lower Extremity Review

Truthfully, turf toe can be a problematic injury for football players. In more serious cases it can be career-threatening. Excess stress to the MTP joint after the original injury can be a source of chronic pain and even re-injured because the joint cannot endure the same pressure/force. This is why in-season injuries result in multiple games missed. Football players, specifically at the skill positions, need to be able to load the MTP joint to push off while sprinting, cutting, and pivoting. The positives from Shenault’s injury are that it is a common injury and the fact that he was able to play 2019 without missing any additional time due to his right foot. This is a good sign moving forward.

Joel Vander Lugt

Labrum Tear (Left Shoulder)

  • 2018
  • Required surgery in the offseason

The labrum is the fibrocartilage structure that ensures shoulder stability. The head of the humerus is typically 3-4x smaller than the glenoid that the shoulder sits in (much like a golf ball on a tee). The labrum is important because it deepens the socket, essentially sealing the joint. When the labrum is torn that “seal” is broken and the shoulder relies on the surrounding musculature to maintain stability. The mechanism of injury for the labrum varies. It could be the result of axial forces, torsional forces, distraction forces or a combination of two. The labrum of the shoulder has no blood supply so when this structure is injured surgery is needed to return stability.

Hospital for Special Surgery

A study published in 2018 “Prevalence of Shoulder Labral Injury in Collegiate Football Players at the National Football League Scouting Combine” [1]  showed that amongst football players with shoulder injuries, labral tears were common in 340/2285 players (14.9%). Fortunately for Shenault, shoulder injuries and surgical interventions have been studied extensively in the sports medicine field so outcomes are very good. Another study from 2018 “Effect of Anterior Glenoid Labral Tears and Glenoid Bone Loss at the NFL Combine on Future NFL Performance” [2], measured player performance in 226 cases from 2009 to 2015. The results showed that players with labral tears did not perform significantly worse in NFL games than healthy players in terms of: games played their first two seasons, games started their first two seasons, or snap % their first two seasons. Overhead throwing athletes (baseball pitchers/quarterbacks) have a higher chance of re-injury and a lower chance of returning to pre-injury form after surgery. This does not apply to Laviska, which is why I am not worried.

Core Muscle Injury

  • 2019
  • Missed 1 game
  • Later diagnosed with osteitis pubis; limited his availability at NFL Combine

Shenault’s most recent injury happened his junior season against Arizona State when he was diagnosed with a core/groin strain that caused him to miss the following week’s game. His injury resurfaced around the NFL combine. News broke that Shenault was suffering from osteitis pubis but would not require surgery. Osteitis pubis is essentially inflammation around the pubis bone (where the hip bones connect in the front of the body) it is caused by a variety of factors such as shearing forces, muscle imbalances and in Laviska’s case, groin/core muscle strains. This is an uncomfortable injury that typically requires rest to heal (4-6 weeks). Players can play through the pain but cutting and turning usually prove to be difficult. A recent example of how this affected player performance was the disappointing season that Odell Beckham Jr. had in 2019.

In Shenault’s case, it even negatively affected his straight-line speed. In Indianapolis, Shenault ran a disappointing 4.58 40-yard dash before dropping out of the rest of the drills.

Core injuries are typically the result of overuse. This is not the least bit surprising when looking at Shenault’s college workload. In his three seasons with the Buffs Viska did everything. He played WR, lined up as a wildcat QB in goal line situations, was a rusher in jet sweeps, and fielded kickoffs and punts on special teams. When comparing Shenault’s workload to other college football WRs you see why he might be subject to an injury of this variety.

Only Lynn Bowden Jr. from Kentucky was asked to do more for his team. For reference, I also compared Shenault’s workload to 2019 rookies AJ Brown, Deebo Samuel, and DK Metcalf to give an example of what might be required of Lavisaka when he suits up for the Jaguars in 2020.

The take-home message here is that if you are avoiding Laviska Shenault in drafts because of his injury history or you think he is “injury prone” then you’re doing it wrong. None of his injuries are related to one another. In fact, a point not discussed enough was the ability to play through injuries. In 2018 Shenault played through both a turf toe injury and torn labrum posting 35 receptions for 303 yards and 4TDs during that period. A demonstration of his resilience. The most concerning injury, in my opinion, was the turf toe injury but Shenault was able to bounce back in 2019. Shenault’s injuries are likely the result of bad luck and overuse in a physical sport such as football. I would not read into it more than just that.

References:

[1] Mannava S, Frangiamore SJ, Murphy CP, et al. Prevalence of Shoulder Labral Injury in Collegiate Football Players at the National Football League Scouting Combine. Orthopaedic Journal of Sports Medicine. 2018;6(7):232596711878398. doi:10.1177/2325967118783982.

[2] Murphy CP, Frangiamore SJ, Mannava S, et al. Effect of Anterior Glenoid Labral Tears and Glenoid Bone Loss at the NFL Combine on Future NFL Performance. Orthopaedic Journal of Sports Medicine. 2018;6(7):232596711878488. doi:10.1177/2325967118784884.