Home Blog Page 98

Paulie’s DFS Sleepers | Week 7 (Draft Kings Value GPP Plays)

0

We have a big week with some high implied totals; should be several barn burners today!

I used to play 8 or more line ups and have recently gone to 2-4. But this week the field is so big that I’m going to do 8. This week’s are posted below so you can mix and match how you want.

Pay attention to the game stacks and value plays. And remember, never gamble with lunch money! For more DFS strategy and tips, check out Brian’s Beer Money Bets.

Lineup 1

Lineup 2

Lineup 3

Lineup 4

Lineup 5

Lineup 6

Lineup 7

Lineup 8

DFS Beer Money Bets | Creating a Process for NFL DFS Pt. 7

This week is an interesting week for this article. I have two processes at completely different sides of the spectrum. If you played my showdown lineup last week, I am so sorry. It didn’t just do poorly, it finished 2nd to last. I think that my showdown process started going down a rabbit hole that I personally have gone down in my professional statistics research. One of the biggest problems with statistics is that it is very easy to make statistics tell you what you want without any significant reasoning. I think I was looking at the wrong variables and so my optimal lineup charts are being left alone for now. I am not even going to go through what went wrong with last week’s process because it was just that bad that I am going to seriously think about what I want to use going forward for my showdown lineups, and you will see my new process next week.

This week’s article is also interesting because I am “retiring” one of my processes after this article. Even though my showdown process has been horrible, my classic early slate process has been incredible. My biggest issue was picking the correct wide receivers and that was corrected with the new value I created called PAWS (Projected points Adjusted for WOPR and Salary). I will be using this process and playing it every week with increased entry fees. The reason I am saying this process is being “retired” is because I will not write about it again for the rest of the season. While I am not cocky enough to think that I have a large enough following to cause too many people to use the process to make it lose its edge, I want this process to remain fairly quiet for now. So the moment we’ve been waiting for:

The FINAL Early Slate Classic Contest Cash Game Process

  1. Look at implied totals and identify the teams with the highest totals and select players from those teams. How many teams depend on the number of teams on the slate but I am going to try and keep it to only the top 25% to 30%. 
  2. First, create the PAWS value by multiplying projected points per $100 by WOPR. Select wide receivers based on the three highest players for PAWS from these teams with the highest implied totals. Next, select a single running back using the projected points per $100 value from one of these top implied total teams. Do not be afraid to go for high priced and “chalky” players. 
  3. To solidify the last few players in my lineup, we need another running back, a quarterback, a flex, a TE, and a DST. Remove the filter for players with high implied totals from earlier and select a running back and a QB that scores well on projected points per $100. Use PAWS to find a TE and FLEX. This is where salary can be saved and there are usually good cheap options based on PAWS for tight ends and FLEX.  
  4. Choose a DST that is going against a team with a low implied total and preferably at home. Do not spend a lot of salary on the DST, usually below $3,000 or even less. 

The Process in Action

  1. The early slate of games is smaller with only 14 teams so I will only be looking at 4 teams with the highest implied totals. This is the Packers, Saints, Bills, and Falcons. 
  2. Next, I sorted wide receiver by PAWS, which produced Davante Adams, Stefon Diggs, and Calvin Ridley as the top three WRs. Then I sorted projected points per $100 salary for RB and Alvin Kamara is the top RB.
  3. I removed the top 4 implied totals filter off the data and selected Joe Burrow as the top QB. For my 2nd running back, Antonio Gibson pops out as a steal. Only Aaron Jones and Kareem Hunt are higher than him but are both almost $2,000 more than him so to save some salary, Gibson seems like a great play. I did the same thing with Logan Thomas, as there were 3 players that graded better, but a $3,500 salary is needed with how much the wide receivers cost. Finally, I add Terry McLaurin as my FLEX because he has the highest PAWS score of the week. The problem is, this makes the team horribly over salary, so now I need to go back in and shave somewhere I could. I looked at my starting WRs and took away Davante Adams and Calvin Ridley and went back to part 2 and expanded my parameters and included the Browns, Lions, and Texans so I have the top 50% teams according to implied totals. The top 2 players are Golladay and OBJ and they perfectly fit into the lineup in place of Adams and Ridley.
  4. With $2,500 left, it works great as I see Washington D/ST as the perfect play here.

There were some adjustments that had to occur based on salary constraints but it still stuck to the process for the most part. I somehow have a lot of Washington Football Team players and that doesn’t thrill me, but I am trusting the process. Assuming everything goes well, this is the last time I will talk about this process until the rest of the season. Good luck this week and if you have any questions, you can find me on Twitter @bpofsu. Also for all of your DFS needs, check out Paulie’s DFS Sleepers and Michael Reedy’s Money Makers and Heart Breakers here at The Undroppables. 

Respect the Flex (Fantasy Football 2020 – Week 7)

0

Welcome to The Undroppables weekly “Flex” play article, bringing you the flex suggestions for your league. As stated in previous articles, this article is written to help with difficult start options. If you boast a very strong team full of star caliber players, do not overthink it and switch out your guys. Lock in your studs and go with the safe points. For those not as lucky, we got you covered.

Our consensus panel now boasts a record of 13-6-2 (2 coming from postponed games) as we head into week 7. To send your questions for future weeks, you can tag me @KayneRob on Twitter.

Let’s get to it!

Flex Plays of the Week

Shallow League Flex Plays (10 or fewer teams)

Clyde Edwards-Helaire @ Denver Broncos

Bell will not have had enough time to adjust to the offense in order to get involved on a regular basis. The Broncos defense has been hurt on the ground on multiple occasions. Do not let the Bell official addition scare you at all from starting CEH this week.

Jamison Crowder vs Buffalo Bills

I said it in Week 1, I will say it again. Start Crowder until proven otherwise. He has lit up the Bills in every single game he has played against them. No matter who starts at QB, Crowder is still seeing 10+ targets in each game. Pay attention to his “Questionable” status, but I believe he plays and should be in your lineup.

Standard League Flex Plays (12 teams)

Antonio Gibson vs Dallas Cowboys

This is a week that I believe Gibson’s pass game strength comes in handy. With three straight weeks of 5 targets I think Gibson could be in line for a really nice game in week 7. Dallas has been getting scorched left and right by both good teams and bad. I feel fairly confident he brings in at least 10 fantasy points.

Robby Anderson @ New Orleans Saints

The Saints still haven’t kept a QB under fantasy points yet this season. Those outings typically benefit the WRs on those teams as well. We have seen time and again Teddy finding Robby Anderson on big plays. I am expecting a bounce back from both players this week vs the Saints. I like Robby a bit more than Moore with DJM seeing more Latimore coverage.

Deeper League Flex Plays (14 or more teams)

Gabriel Davis @ New York Jets

With Brown still missing practices, I am ready to fire up Davis once again. He has been a decent play as a flex in deeper leagues most weeks. If Brown is out then I am more confident in Davis’s outcome. He makes the right moves on the field in all play types so his snap % continues to be nice.

Darnell Mooney @ Los Angles Rams

With Ramsey covering Robinson all night, I turn to the WR2 for the Chicago team to have a big night. Although his numbers don’t blow you away his connection with Foles on the field is definitely progressing. If you are in a pinch in week 7 with injuries and byes, I don’t hate this play in deeper leagues.

Boom or Bust Flex Plays

Marvin Jones @ Atlanta Falcons

If there were any game that Marvin Jones were to finally have his boom week it would be vs the Falcons. If you can’t play him this week then you might as well trade him for absolutely whatever you can get. Marvin Jones is a more confident boom/bust flex for me this week.

Henry Ruggs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Teams have not been very successful on the ground vs the Buccaneers. In order to compete in this game, the Raiders will likely need some success through the air. Ruggs has the big play TD potential which makes him a prime candidate for this category. The risk lies with his lack of consistency in opportunity week to week.

Christian Kirk vs Seattle Seahawks

Seattle’s secondary has yet to be gashed by an NFL offense. The opportunity should be prime for Kirk, similar to what we saw with Dallas. That being said his targets have continued to be poor at best. He could have a big game but holds the low floor risk, making him boom or bust.

The Undroppables Survey Says

Best for last, we go back to Twitter asking for your hardest flex questions. Below are some of those questions we received with a panel of four members of The Undroppables bringing you our consensus votes for Week 7:

The Undroppables Consensus: Darrell Henderson (4 votes)

Reason: Although the matchup may look worse, Henderson is seeing the more valuable touches and is likely to have the higher ceiling. -@KayneRob

The Undroppables Consensus: Terry McLaurin (4 votes)

Reason: Would usually go RB volume gere but McLaurin has the super plus match up. Hes also popping in Brads model. -@PauliesSleepers

The Undroppables Consensus: James Robinson (4 votes)

Reason: Robinson has been sensational this year. Gio is a solid start as well but there is a chance the whole Bengals offense struggles against the CLE pass rush, which limits TD upside. –@FantasyandSport

The Undroppables Consensus: Tj Hockenson (3 votes) (1 vote Gallup)

Reason: The Atlanta defense has been abysmal against TEs. Bottom 5 against the TE position. -@KL_Fantasy

In Summary

To be featured and get your flex questions answered each week feel free to tag or DM @KayneRob throughout the week. For last minute game day decisions, check out “Under the Wire” on the Fantasy Football Chat Discord.

Unsung Heroes | Offensive & Defensive Line Matchups Week 7

0

An unsung hero is someone who does great deeds, but gets little to no recognition for them. In football, the linemen who battle in the trenches are the unsung heroes that make the biggest impact on the game. In this weekly column, we are going to shine a light on those unsung heroes and highlight some key match-ups to help you make your lineup decisions for Week 6. The offensive line advantage will be provided by Brad, with the defensive line advantage provided by Tommy Mo.

Week 6 Recap

The Jaguars laid an egg on Sunday, but James Robinson was bailed out by a garbage-time touchdown. I was kicking myself all week after this went up knowing I should have switched the advantage. Still, the Lions had a bad run defense and the process will continue to evolve. The game script for the Rams wasn’t favorable, but Darrell Henderson still put up 88 yards on only 14 carries. I know, we all wish it was Cam Akers, but either way, this Rams line has shown it can dominate in the run game. They also did not allow a sack all game and gave Goff all the time in the world. The 49ers were able to knock some throws down at the line, but that isn’t on them. Jonathan Taylor and the Colts had a worse game script than the Rams, but he did get some work in the passing game which was nice to see.

On the defensive side, we saw Washington hold the Giants to 13 points and 240 total yards, 74 of those coming from Daniel Jones on the ground. Jones was under pressure all day, but was able to hit one deep ball to Slayton for a touchdown. Atlanta was the most successful call of the day here. Alexander Mattison only had 26 yards on the day and on his long carry of 16 yards we saw the line of the Vikings get driven back two yards. Kirk Cousins struggled early, and while he wasn’t pressured on his first interception there was pressure on the second and his arm was hit on the third. I really would have liked to see more sacks, but I’ll still take 7 points out of a $2,200 DST. Would have been more if not for the garbage time flare up from the Vikings offense.

Offensive Line Advantage

Detroit Lions @ Atlanta Falcons

Last week we had the Falcons on the defensive line advantage and we saw what Grady Jarret and Co. was able to do to the Vikings line. Detroit has been quietly good on the season and they got Big V (Halapoulivaati Vaitai) back a couple weeks ago. This is one matchup I’ll be watching as this will be a good tell as to whether or not Big V was worth the huge offseason contract. The Lions have played well overall, especially in the run game. I thought the loss of Graham Glasgow would weigh more, but they have filled his shoes nicely by moving Vaitai inside and improved with the other side with Jonah Jackson. I don’t expect this to be as good as last week, but there is still an advantage on the ground here. Fire up D’Andre Swift again this week and hope Patricia sways the committee more in his favor.

San Francisco 49ers @ New England Patriots

Last week we saw the Patriots get worked on the ground by Denver. New England has allowed 4.54 adjusted line yards per carry and we know Kyle Shanahan’s scheme will give them running lanes. The 49ers have not had the best start to the year, Trent Williams did not look like himself the last couple of weeks before the Rams game also. The good thing is that during that Rams game we saw the line coming together finally. Starting to gel, open up the lanes a little wider, giving Jimmy G a little more time. There were a couple of injuries during that game, and one of them was Trent Williams (ankle), but imaging has determined that it was not serious so we should still see him this week. The other was to Ben Garland (C) who was placed on IR on Tuesday. Hroniss Grasu has already had playing time this year and will get the starts moving forward. I still think this group will continue on their performance from last week and follow the Broncos gameplan like the guys on Unscripted mentioned. Pound the rock, dink, and dunk, keep the ball out of Cam’s hands so he can’t get a rhythm going. I like McKinnon this week, but a deeper play this week could be JaMycal Hasty (aka Hasty McTasty on the Dynasty Rewind) if Jeff Wilson is sidelined this week.

New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers

This one is a bit of low hanging fruit here, obviously, we are all starting Kamara every week. But if there was ever another week to throw in Latavius Murray this would be it. I’d consider starting him over other borderline RB 2/3’s this week just for the touchdown upside.

Defensive Line Advantage

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets

The Buffalo Bills aren’t exactly setting the world on fire with their pass-rushing as they are currently in the bottom 1/2 of the league in sacks with 11, and bottom 1/2 in sack percentage with 4.93%. However, the Jets are currently 27th in the league in getting their QB sacked with 3 per game. But with an expected negative game script for the Jets as the Bills offense has been red hot lately, there will be plenty of opportunities for the Bills front 4 to get after Joe Flacco. And the Bills should win those pass-rush opportunities as the Jets front 5 are one of the worst units in the league as Brad Wire has them ranked dead last. I really like the talent on the Bills defensive line, and Jerry Hughes is leading all edge rushers in win rate at 40%.

Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals

Cincinnati has given up a league-worst 22 sacks on the year and the Browns should feast off that on Sunday. Their best lineman by far has been Jonah Williams only allowing 1 sack so far on the year. Myles Garrett has a chance to get the better of the rookie on Sunday, but he will do a lot more damage on the other side. Bobby Hart has looked absolutely lost at times on the right side. Garrett has been red hot since facing the Bengals last having at least 1 sack in each game since with 2 games with 2 sacks. If you have someone that is a viable replacement for Joe Mixon, it might be a good idea to throw them in as he averaged less than 3 yards per carry in Week 2. He was saved by catching all 4 targets for 40 yards though. The other bit of bad news is that Mixon has sat out back to back practices dealing with a foot injury after this week.

Battles of the Week

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Las Vegas Raiders

Tommy convinced me to move this one into a battle of the week after I originally had it in Offensive Line Advantage for Tampa Bay. Apparently, the Raiders D-Line has been playing better recently. I trust Tommy on this one as the resident Raiders fan, but I do still think RoJo has another nice game here. Ryan Jensen has been an absolute stud on the interior for Tampa Bay and has a decent matchup with Johnathan Hankins with a dose of Clelin Ferrill at times. RoJo has a shot to hit that 100-yard milestone this week again and should still get a little work in the passing game. The Buccaneers have continued their 2019 dominance along the D-Line and the Raiders are still without Richie Incognito. Right now the entire Raiders O-Line is in question due to Trent Brown testing positive for COVID also. This would be a disaster for them as this group has been their rock this entire season. This could get ugly quickly if they have to sit their entire line. At least Sam Young is healthy to replace Trent Brown with Denzelle Good already replacing Incognito.

Green Bay Packers @ Houston Texans

Yes, the 4-1 Packers have a battle of the week with the 1-5 Texans. This is strictly from an O-Line/D-Line perspective. We saw Tampa Bay with their dominant line get some pressure on Rodgers last week and going to JJ Watt’s house could be more of the same. Right now David Bakhtiari looks like he might be sidelined this week after suffering a chest injury last week too. Green Bay and Houston have similar sack numbers at 12 and 14 respectively, but both have not been good at handling the run game – both giving up over 5 yards per carry. The thought here is that the Texans O-Line might not be enough to stop the Packers D-Line, but they haven’t been playing up to their 2019 level just yet. Part of that is because Kenny Clark missed some time and just returned last week as well. I figure this is going to be another high scoring affair and one where the line is going to be a gridlock with it coming down to a few key stars making plays when it really counts.

Favorite Individual Matchups

Brad Wire – Derrick Brown (DT – Car) vs. Cesar Ruiz (G – NO)
This matchup of first round rookies was far and away my favorite for this week. We’ve seen what Brown can do, dominating inferior competition, but it will be good to see what Ruiz has learned so far in the NFL. Defense is always quicker to pick up than offense. Given the shortened offseason, and that Ruiz was out the first few weeks it will be a good test now that he’s had a few starts under his belt.

Tommy Mo – Jerry Hughes (DE – BUF) vs. Mekhi Becton (LT – NYJ)

Hughes winning 2 out of every 5 pass rushes does not bode well for the return of Sam Darnold. The good news is his new anchor Mekhi Becton should also be making his return this week. If he can keep Darnold’s blindside clean then this game might be a little competitive. Either way, it will be good to see just how good Hughes is and if Becton can continue where he left off.

Money Makers and Heart Breakers (Fantasy Football 2020 – Week 7)

0

Stop, drop, shut ’em down, open up shop
Oh, no, That’s how The Undroppables roll
Stop, drop, shut ’em down, open up shop
Oh, no, That’s how The Undroppables roll

Oh you think this is funny, then you don’t want to make money. I opened up the shop again last night and wrote and wrote and researched my way to this column. While listening to a lot of hip hop, I think that has surprised my buddy Tommy Mo. Tommy is saying I have swag; if only Tommy knew just how much.  Doing nerd stuff like my regular job and analyzing numbers for fantasy purposes isn’t exactly swaggy.  It makes me feel like the Office Space guys trashing the printer in the field.

Oh, you think it’s funny
Then you don’t know me, money
(It might be a little funny)

So if you are new around here, this is how it works:

Money Maker – I think this person will perform well this week and be better than expectations

Heart Breaker – These players will not meet projections

Quarterbacks

💰 Money Makers

Justin Herbert – This guy has over 300 yards or a minimum of 3 touchdowns in every game he has played. In Week 7 Herbert goes up against the Jaguars who are a bottom 10 defense against the pass (8th worst). Herbert has been airing it out and appears to have a great connection with his wide receivers. Not only would I charge up Herbert, but I am where I have him (see what I did there). ($7,500 on FanDuel and $6,400 on DraftKings)

Teddy Bridgewater – Two weeks ago Teddy was a maker, last week a breaker. Both held true.  This week Teddy gets to face his old team, which is one of the friendliest defenses to the passing game in the NFL. The Saints defense has given up multiple passing touchdowns in EVERY game this season. You can look for that trend to continue this week. ($6,800 on FanDuel and $5,800 on DraftKings)

Joe Burrow – The Browns are next up for Burrow, and they are the 6th friendliest defense to quarterbacks. I think it’s great that they are so kind. The last time Burrow faced the Browns he threw for 316 yards and 3 touchdowns, I simply can’t ignore that. Burrow has thrown for over 300 yards in 4 games this season. I say plug him in that lineup. ($7,100 on FanDuel and $5,500 on DraftKings)

Other quarterbacks I like in Week 7:

There is the obvious: Russell Wilson, Patrick Mahomes, Kyler Murray, and Deshaun Watson

The not so obvious: Matthew Stafford and Gardner Minshew

💔 Heart Breakers

Baker Mayfield – Is anyone even interested in playing him anymore? With his rib injury and how bad he has played, he really shouldn’t even be rostered. The Bengals are the number 6 defense against quarterbacks. They kept Mayfield in check for the most part in the first meeting. Even if Baker plays, NO ONE should have any interest in playing him.

Nick Foles – Foles hasn’t been bad, but he hasn’t been great as well. He’s a middling quarterback so far this season. Playing against the Rams is not where I would expect a middling QB to get a big game. Jimmy G did light them up last week, but I don’t expect that from Foles.

Others quarterbacks to avoid: Cam Newton, Daniel Jones, Derek Carr, and Jared Goff

Running Backs

💰 Money Makers

Todd Gurley  – Gurley has a starter’s volume on his side and an offense that can really get it going. Last week he only totaled 67 yards. This week Gurley is playing against the Lions who have given up 7 touchdowns to the running back position on the season. Gurley is capable of doing damage on the ground or catching the ball. He will bounce back this week. ($6,600 on FanDuel and $6,000 on DraftKings)

Ronald Jones – Jones is tearing it up. Over 100 yards in each of the last three games and 2 touchdowns last week against the Packers. The worst defense against the run in the NFL is up this week in the Raiders. The Raiders have given up an average of 100 yards per game on the ground and have also given up 8 touchdowns to the position. Jones will continue producing in Week 7.  ($5,000 on FanDuel and $6,000 on DraftKings)

Justin Jackson – Jackson had 71 yards rushing in relief of Austin Ekeler last week. This week he gets the Jaguars defense that was just torched by the Lions running backs for 166 yards and 3 touchdowns. There will be opportunities for both Jackson and Joshua Kelley here. ($6,100 on FanDuel and $6,800 on DraftKings)

Other running backs to play:

The obvious: Ezekiel Elliott, Alvin Kamara, Kareem Hunt, Mike Davis, and Aaron Jones

The not so obvious: Kenyan Drake, David Johnson, D’Andre Swift, Jerrick McKinnon, and JD McKissic.

💔 Heart Breakers

Darrell Henderson – Henderson is back here again as a heart breaker. I don’t want people to think Henderson is reaching Mixon status with me, as he isn’t. This is simply another tough match-up facing the Bears run defense. Henderson did produce 88 yards last week on the ground, so I think you can expect something similar. But don’t expect multiple touchdowns or double-digit scoring this week from Henderson.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire – Denver is the best defense against the run in the league. Since the second week of the season, they have not given up a 100-yard rusher. The Broncos give up on average only 68 yards on the ground a game. With the addition of Le’Veon Bell to the team and a tough defense, I would expect a down week for CEH in Week 7.

Other running backs that will cost you in Week 2: David Montgomery, Damien Harris, and Frank Gore

Wide Receivers

💰 Money Makers

Tee Higgins – Over the past four weeks, Higgins has averaged 8 targets per game and has totaled 304 yards and 2 touchdowns. This week he is going up against the Browns and the 3rd worst defense against wide receivers. You can expect another 8 or more targets and some seriously good production against a bad defense. ($5,700 on FanDuel and $5,300 on DraftKings)

Terry McLaurin –  McLaurin has not seen less than 7 targets all season. In Week 6, McLaurin had a 29% target share consisting of 12 targets for 7 receptions and 74 yards. This week, McLaurin is playing against a defense that has given up 13 touchdowns to the position. Wide receivers have caught 11 touchdowns, ran for 1, and even thrown a touchdown against the Cowboys. This sets up nicely for a scary day for Cowboys defenders. ($7,100 on FanDuel and $5,800 on DraftKings)

Christian Kirk – Kirk was in here last week and he only caught two passes… for 86 yards and 2 touchdowns! This week the Cardinals get to play the league’s worst defense against the pass, the Seahawks. Kirk has 55 yards and/or a touchdown in four straight games. I would expect Kirk to potentially have a few more catches and some yards over the top in what appears to be this week’s shootout. ($5,400 on FanDuel and $4,900 on DraftKings)

Jamison Crowder – Crowder hasn’t seen less than 10 targets yet this season. The Bills are up in Week 7. The Bills defense is pretty good against wide receivers, but the place to beat them is in the slot. This happens to be where Crowder plays. In Week 1, Crowder had 7 receptions for 115 yards and a touchdown against the Bills. In Week, 2 Isaiah Ford for the Dolphins for 7 receptions for 76 yards. In Week 3, Cooper Kupp scorched the Bills for 9 receptions, 107 yards, and a touchdown. This is where you beat the Bills, and Crowder will have the volume to make it happen. ($6,300 on FanDuel and $5,900 on DraftKings)

Other wide receivers to play:

The obvious: Deandre Hopkins, Davante Adams, Julio Jones, Tyler Lockett, Calvin Ridley, and Tyreek Hill

The not so obvious:  – Keelan Cole, Mike Williams, and Robby Anderson

💔 Heart Breakers

Michael Gallup – Andy Dalton looked pretty bad in Week 6. This week, the Cowboys draw the Washington Football Team which gives up an average of 131 yards per game and 0.3 touchdowns per game.  Gallup had 2 receptions for 23 yards in Dalton’s debut as a Cowboys starting quarterback. That means you can expect less from Gallup, Amari Cooper, and CeeDee Lamb this week.  YUCK!

Cooper Kupp –  Kupp has been targeted heavily lately, seeing 9 targets in Week 6.  He turned those 9 targets into 3 receptions for 11 yards against the Niners.  The Bears are actually even better against the pass than the Niners are.  Expect it to be tough going for Kupp once again this weekend.

Other wide receivers will cost you: Tim Patrick, Julian Edelman, Jarvis Landry, and DJ Moore

Tight Ends

💰 Money Makers

Hunter Henry – Henry is averaging 7 targets per game. The Jaguars give up an average of 4.7 targets, 3.7 receptions, and 58 yards per game as the ninth-worst defense against tight ends. Look for Henry to be active in the passing game for the Chargers. ($5,800 on FanDuel and $4,500 on DraftKings)

T.J. Hockenson – Hockenson is averaging 5 targets per game. He has a touchdown in each of his last two games and this week draws the second friendliest defense to tight ends in the league, the Atlanta Falcons. Hockenson has faced three bottom-10 defenses against tight ends this season; he has a touchdown in each of those games.  So it is easy to see why he is a money maker here. This week you can call him TD Hockenson. ($5,900 on Fan Duel and $5,000)

Dalton Schultz – Schultz has been pretty bad since Dak Prescott got injured. His targets went down significantly. While I was just telling you about how the Washington Football Team is good against wide receivers, they aren’t so good against tight ends. Washington is the fourth-worst defense against the position, and I expect Dalton to move the ball through Schultz. ($5,200 on FanDuel and $3,900 on DraftKings)

Other tight ends to play:

The obvious: Darren Waller, George Kittle, and Travis Kelce

The not so obvious: Austin Hooper, Rob Gronkowski, and Jimmy Graham

💔 Heart Breakers

Jared Cook – Each of the last two games Cook has only seen 2 targets. The Saints are playing the Panthers in Week 7. The Panthers have not allowed any tight end to get more than 50 yards this season and have given up only 1 touchdown to the position. I would look elsewhere.

Darren Fells – The last two weeks Fells has had 52 yards and a touchdown and 85 yards and a touchdown. This week, two things are happening that can ruin this production: Jordan Akins returns to the lineup, and the Texans are playing the Packers, who are great against the tight end. The Packers are the third stingiest defense against the tight end position.  Don’t fall into the Fells trap.

Other tight ends that will cost you: Tyler Eifert and Drew Sample

If you are looking for Defenses to stream take a look at The Stream Option by Kyle Larson.

Thanks for checking out our Money Makers and Heart Breakers column. For more great content from the Undroppables, follow us on Twitter, follow @MikeReedyFF for more great content, and visit back for Mike’s weekly UNtangling the Wire (waiver wire) article.