The dynasty offseason is a chance to capitalize on market inefficiencies in players with a chance to not worry about positional needs. Even if you are a contender in 2024, the offseason is all about accumulating assets and finding the mispriced players in your leagues. It does not matter what your starting lineup looks like this early in the offseason. What does matter is making sure you don’t miss out on the time to buy or sell a player.
Zach Charbonnet
Do not get me wrong; Zach Charbonnet is a day 2 Running Back on a team that loves running the ball. That being said, there is Kenneth Walker ahead of him on the depth chart and is the most explosive runner of the two and ended the year how it started with earning the majority of the carries.
While “Charb” can be considered the passing down back of the two, he is still the less productive fantasy back of the two by a wide margin. In the two games he caught 5 and 6 targets, but he still only scored 9.1 and 12.9 fantasy points in each of those games. We also got to witness what life would be like as he as the lead back and while it was “startable”, his best game in yards per carry was 3.36, and in fantasy points, it was 16.9 in the Thursday night shootout in Dallas.
I would jump on the chance to trade him at his current market value of RB23 (on Fantasy Pros and KTC). While he is only 23 years old, I am not comfortable holding on to a handcuff when I can get RB2 value out of him on the market as he is only in your lineup when “K9” is inactive. I would be ecstatically trading him for a late first in non-Superflex, and in Superflex leagues, I would be comfortable parting with him for a mid-second-round pick. A couple of players to target in exchange for him would be Jayden Reed and Josh Downs.
Honorable Mention – James Cook
While Cook’s RB2 price always screamed giant value to me, I would sell him for backend RB1 value, especially before Free Agency and the NFL Draft.
Notes
Aaron Jones is presenting a great opportunity to sell high on him after his strong resurgence in the NFL playoffs. A 29-year-old RB who is a potential cap casualty candidate.
Get rid of Austin Ekeler. He lost his juice and is a free agent.
Devonta Smith
While so many older Wide Receivers are easy picks here, I want to talk about an established, young stud Wide Receiver. I believe Devonta Smith’s production does not match up with his price. The silky-smooth Heisman winner on the Eagles is a very popular player to build around at any stage of a dynasty team. While there may not be safer players to have at the Wide Receiver position long-term, he is priced as a backend dynasty WR1. While this price tag may be justifiable, it is one I want to use to land a stud that can win me a league versus having a safe WR2.
This is no knock to Devonta Smith, but he is considered a WR1 on a dynasty team when he is not even the Wide Receiver 1 on his own team. He is a player that I am using to package with something else to land a top 6 dynasty WR or a player I am even willing to tier down into a DJ Moore or Michael Pittman while adding another piece in the trade.
Honorable Mention – Nico Collins
Currently at his peak value as WR13 on KTC. While he is certainly a great young player who can be tied to CJ Stroud, I just do not see a way he will ever be able to increase his value from where it is currently. How he is ranked ahead of Pittman, Moore, and London I am not too sure, and would act on it accordingly.
Luke Musgrave
When analyzing my tight end room each offseason, I want to make sure my TE1 and TE2 are guys that are the clear TE1s on their given team. Unfortunately, Luke Musgrave does not give me that assurance even with the flashes he showed his rookie season. When he went down for the year, fellow rookie Tucker Kraft improved each game showing his toughness and ability to be a part of the collection of young pass catchers for Jordan Love.
Musgrave, currently ranked as the TE16 on Fantasy Pros, is a sell for me this offseason due to his price and the competition for targets around him in Green Bay and even at his position. In terms of the tight ends around him in value, I would easily trade Musgrave for Michael Mayer or Dalton Schultz straight up. I would also add a sweetener to turn Musgrave into Kmet, Jake Ferguson, or even Pat Freiermuth.
Honorable Mention – Travis Kelce
Sadly, it is time to thank Travis Kelce for the steady presence he provided you on your dynasty team and sell him to someone who thinks Kelce could play a couple more years comparing him to someone like Tony Gonzalez. With his multiple interests off the field and nothing left to prove on the field, Kelce’s playing days seem to be numbered and I want to get out while I can.
