If you didn’t know, I got a kitten this year. He is a Maine Coon Cat. They get big, and some of them can get real big. Well, Snowball is one of the ones that can get REAL big. This little guy isn’t little and is eating me out of a house and home. He eats and eats and eats, and then he grows and grows and grows.
He scratched me playing the other day, and I bled everywhere; my hand looked like a bobcat mauled me. By the way, he is bigger than a bobcat. The completely damaged two fingers I am looking at while I type – because I have to look at the keys sometimes – is what made me think to tell you all about him. I probably should have gotten stitches.
Anyways, enough about my pet that you don’t care about, and let us get on to the football-related things you care about.
If you are new here, this column can help you handle some sit/start questions you might have, but its primary purpose is to take you through the main DFS slate weekly with players that will make you money and players that will break your heart.
Here is a brief definition of each of my terms for anyone that might be new:
💰 Money Maker – This player will perform better than expectations
💔 Heart Breaker – This player will perform lower than expectations
💰 Money Makers
Quarterbacks
Zach Wilson
The Dolphins have given up over 287 yards and multiple touchdowns in the last three games. Wilson threw the ball 36 times in his first week back, passing for 252 yards and a touchdown. He has good chemistry with Elijah Moore, Corey Davis, and Tyler Conklin. This is an excellent spot for Wilson to drop bombs like he dates moms.
$5,300 on DraftKings
$7,200 on Fanduel
Jared Goff
Goff went Super Saiyan in Week 4 against a Seahawks defense that had fared relatively well against quarterbacks in fantasy before that game. The Patriots give up the ninth most points to opposing teams’ quarterbacks. The Patriots haven’t given up a lot of yards to quarterbacks, but they have given up touchdowns. Quarterbacks have scored nine touchdowns in the first four weeks. The Lions must throw to stay in games, even when the opponent is starting a third-stringer.
$6,100 on DraftKings
$8,000 on Fanduel
Jared Goff having a better season than Matthew Stafford is a #win for nerds everywhere
— Akash (@YZR_Fantasy) October 4, 2022
Carson Wentz
The Titans have given up multiple touchdowns in every game this season to quarterbacks. Quarterbacks have also surpassed 300 yards in each of the last three games. When Wentz has a clean pocket, he has produced this season. The Titans are a neat and tidy team to play against, so that pocket will be squeaky clean as it always is. I see a multiple touchdown day in Week 5 for Wentz
$5,700 on DraftKings
$6,800 on Fanduel
Other quarterbacks for Week 5
Bailey Zappe
$5,100 on DraftKings
$6,300 on Fanduel
Jameis Winston
$5,500 on DraftKings
$7,300 on Fanduel
Teddy Bridgewater
$5,400 on DraftKings
$6,400 on Fanduel
Running Backs
James Robinson
Robinson put up a stinker in Week 4. That was last week. In Week 5, he gets to play against the Texans. The Texans give up the most points to the running back position. Robinson has scored in 3 out of 4 games this season. The Texans have given up monster days to running backs in 3 out of the first four games. Running backs average 141 yards and a touchdown rushing against the Texans. Robinson will bounce back in a big way in Week 5.
$6,300 on DraftKings
$8,000 on Fanduel
Damien Harris/Rhamondre Stevenson
The Lions allow the second most fantasy points to opposing teams running backs. Six running backs scored double-digit against the Lions in the first four weeks. Last week Rashad Penny gored the Lions for 151 yards and two touchdowns. Stevenson has had the more significant portion of the snap share with 29 more snaps than Harris, but Harris had scored the touchdowns. Both will produce in Week 5.
Damien Harris
$5,600 on DraftKings
$7,200 on Fanduel
Rhamondre Stevenson
$5,500 on DraftKings
$6,000 on Fanduel
Nick Chubb
Nick Chubb has been dominating the first four weeks of the season. This season, he is one of the two top-scoring running backs in fantasy. In Week 5, the Browns play the Chargers. The Chargers give up the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing teams running backs. This one couldn’t be any easier. I know you are playing him in season-long leagues. It’s time to pay up in DFS as well. Everyone should play with a little Chubby this weekend.
$8,000 on DraftKings
$9,400 on Fanduel
VOLUME is king with RBs. TOP 10 RBs in rushing attempts Wk1 – Wk4:
ATTEMPTS:
• Saquon Barkley 🚀
• Joe Mixon
• Jonathan Taylor 🏥
• Nick Chubb 🚀
• Derrick Henry
• Miles Sanders 📈
• Josh Jacobs (FEED HIM)
• Dalvin Cook
• Jamaal Williams 👀
• Dameon Pierce 📈#NFL— PPRFantasyTips (@PPRFantasyTips) October 4, 2022
Other Running backs for Week 5
Khalil Herbert
$5,900 on DraftKings
$7,100 on Fanduel
Dameon Pierce
$6,200 on DraftKings
$7,500 on Fanduel
Devin Singletary
$6,100 on DraftKings
$6,000 on Fanduel
Wide Receivers
Curtis Samuel
Samuel came into the season piping hot but cooled down the last two weeks. Well, in Week 5, things get easier again as the Commanders play the Titans in Week 5. The Titans give up the fourth most fantasy points to wide receivers. Jahan Dotson is out, which will condense the passing tree for the Commanders. Samuel already leads the team with a 22% target share and a 72% catch rate. Samuel will be in command in Week 5.
$5,800 on DraftKings
$5,800 on Fanduel
CeeDee Lamb
Lamb has a 33% target share for the Cowboys this season. The volume is fantastic. Meanwhile, he is playing against the team that gives up third most fantasy points to wide receivers, the Rams. There have been six double-digit fantasy scores this season by wide receivers against the Rams. They give up an average of 212 yards a game to wide receivers who have scored six touchdowns against the Rams in the first four weeks of the season. CeeDee will score a TD in his third straight game.
$7,000 on DraftKings
$7,200 on Fanduel
While many have been planning his funeral, CeeDee Lamb is quietly on pace for 97 receptions with 1224 yards and 8 TDs.
Lamb has a 33% target share and prior to Week 4 was No. 2 overall in unrealized air yards. Still performing like a WR1. pic.twitter.com/1LkVakKHh8
— Kyle Lindemann (@LuckIsMadeFF) October 3, 2022
Corey Davis
Zach Wilson targeted Davis a team-high seven times in his first week back. That’s a 19% target share. Davis turned that into five receptions for 74 yards and a touchdown. The Dolphins allow the fifth most points to opposing teams’ wide receivers. All of the stars align for Davis in Week 5: soft defense, a quarterback that can get him the ball, and team-leading volume. What is not to like?
$5,100 on DraftKings
$5,900 on Fanduel
Other Wide Receivers for Week 5
Amari Cooper
$6,000 on DraftKings
$7,000 on Fanduel
Robert Woods
$5,200 on DraftKings
$5,900 on Fanduel
Stefon Diggs
$8,400 on DraftKings
$8,600 on Fanduel
Tight Ends
Dallas Goedert
The Eagles play the Cardinals in Week 5. The Cardinals allow the second most points to opposing teams’ tight ends. The Cardinals give up 85 yards, and a touchdown to tight ends weekly. The Eagles have been flying high, and it’s a wonderful week to plug Goedert into lineups.
$4,700 on DraftKings
$6,100 on Fanduel
Dallas Goedert has the 2nd most Yards After Catch IN THE NFL. He’s talented folks.
— Kaleb Ivy (@kalebivy_FF) October 4, 2022
Tyler Conklin
Conklin is averaging seven targets per game. The Dolphins give up, on average, seven receptions and 73 yards to tight ends. I like Conklin to see 5 to 8 targets surpassing 70 yards. Conklin has a 16% target share and a 72% catch rate. He is an excellent inexpensive play in DFS against a bottom-ten defense covering his position. It’s difficult not to like that.
$3,700 on DraftKings
$5,300 on Fanduel
Other Tight Ends for Week 5
Cameron Brate
$3,400 on DraftKings
$4,900 on Fanduel
Logan Thomas
$3,200 on DraftKings
$5,200 on Fanduel
T.J. Hockenson
$4,900 on DraftKings
$7,000 on Fanduel
💔Heart Breakers
Quarter Backs
Baker Mayfield
The Niners’ defense is the toughest on opposing teams’ quarterbacks. They have only given up one game of over 200 yards passing, and only one quarterback has thrown for a touchdown against them. Meanwhile, Mayfield has been epically pathetic. Mayfield has thrown for a touchdown in every game this season, but he has only broken 200 yards once and has not scored 20 fantasy points yet. It isn’t happening this week, either. No one is playing Mayfield unless they have had head trauma.
Kenny Pickett
Pickett got some time on the field in Week 4 and played pretty well. But the Bills are up in Week 5, and the Bills give up the second-fewest points to quarterbacks in fantasy. Another case of you aren’t playing him in season-long or DFS. If you are playing him, you are desperate like any port in a storm. I hope you aren’t that desperate; it would be just sad.
Kyler Murray
Whoever is playing against the Eagles this season, I pretty much have as a heartbreaker weekly. The Cardinals play the Eagles this week; look here; the Cardinals quarterback is a heartbreaker. I don’t care what he has done against other teams. No one has scored more than 16 points against the Eagles this season. The Eagles’ are more formidable than the Cardinals. Say no-no to Kyler in DFS.
Running Backs
Ezekiel Elliott
Zeke has been a low-grade running back so far this season. In Week 5, he is going up against a defense with one touchdown and one double-digit fantasy score to running backs this season. You probably think I will say play him in season-long with his name, but I am not. Zeke has been breaking your heart for four straight weeks; he makes it five this week. Another icky performance from Zeke this week.
Christian McCaffrey
Despite what I read on Twitter, CMC has been good this season. This week though, he is going up against a Niners team that gives up the second lowest amount of points to opposing teams running backs. I am playing him in season-long leagues and feeling good about it, but I wouldn’t pay up for him in DFS this week. At least he isn’t making me throw up in my mouth.
Tyler Allgeier
The Buccaneers were the most challenging defense against running backs until Clyde Edwards-Helaire torched them in Week 4. Allgeier is not Edwards-Hellaire; the Falcons are certainly not the Chiefs. Suppose you added him off waivers; good for you. If you played him expecting great things in Week 5, I could only say HA-HA. What do you want me to do? I said Ha-ha.
Wide Receivers
Michael Pittman
I think the Colts are bad. I think the Colts’ passing game is terrible. In Week 5, the Colts play the Broncos. The Broncos are the most formidable team for wide receivers to score fantasy points against. I am avoiding Pittman in DFS. If you have him in season-long, you are probably playing him. I hate that acidic taste the vomit leaves in your mouth after things like this.
Justin Jefferson
Jefferson is a stud. He is outstanding. He may even crack double digits against the Bears this week. If he does, he will be only the third wide receiver to do it this year. He has been a little boom/bust this season. This week is bust. He is another guy you are playing in season-long, but you should avoid paying up for him in DFS.
Diontae Johnson
DJ had two receptions for 11 yards in Week 4. If Pickett is starting, you can expect his massive volume you are used to dropping like it did in Week 4. To top it off, the Steelers are playing the Bills, and the Bills give up the 5th fewest points to wide receivers. Everything is looking bad for Johnson in Week 5. EVERYTHING! Less volume, tough defense, yuck, yuck, and more yuck.
Tight Ends
Tyler Higbee
Higbee has been the second option in the Rams’ passing game, which has helped some of us in fantasy quite a bit. But this week, the Rams play the Cowboys. The Cowboys give the sixth-fewest fantasy points to opposing teams’ tight ends. If Higbee can get double-digit target volume, he can probably be usable. If the Cowboys clamp down, and they will, he won’t. Let Higbee be and play an actual money maker instead.
Pat Freiermuth
You just read about how good the Bills are against wide receivers; guess what? Don’t make me tell you, think. OK, ok, I’ll let you. The Bills are the second-best defense against tight ends. Not a single tight end has surpassed 40 yards receiving against them. In Week 4, they even held Mark Andrews in check with only two receptions and 11 yards. Freiermuth has been a decent play most weeks, but not this week.
Will Dissly
Dissly has not seen a lot of targets. But he has seen primarily red zone targets and has three touchdowns in 4 games. It almost sounds like I am going to tell you to play him. But I’m not. It’s the opposite. In Week 5, he plays against a Saints defense that has not allowed a tight end to score 4 points or more. Horrific play this week.
Thanks for checking out Money Maker and Heart Breakers. For more great content from The Undroppables, follow us on Twitter and @MikeReedyFF for more great content.