I also wanted to throw out there that I will be working with my favorite charity, Ride Hard Breathe Easy, on the NFL Playoff challenge again this year. It is a $20 entrance fee, and half the money will go to Ride Hard Breathe Easy to help support their mission: “End the stigma and suffering for lung cancer patients and caregivers, in memory of Kathleen Matthews.”
Please consider playing in this tournament and helping the good cause. You can reach out to me to get started.
Here is a brief definition of each of my terms for anyone that might be new:
💰 Money Maker – This player will perform better than expectations
💔 Heart Breaker – This player will perform lower than expectations
💰 Money Makers
Quarterbacks
Kyler Murray
The Lions are up in Week 15. The Lions actually have a top 10 defense against opposing teams’ quarterbacks when it comes to fantasy scoring. But the Lions have given up over 300 yards passing in two of the last three games. The Cardinals may be missing Conner and I would expect them to throw more than run. Murray will run, and he will throw. Kyler will look to put on a show in the Silver Dome.
$7,900 on DraftKings
$8,800 on Fanduel
Tua Tagovailoa
In season-long playoffs where I am not playing Hill, I either have a top 5 option or I am playing Tua. No ifs, ands, or buts about it. I have been saying to add this guy for two weeks just so you could play him against the Jets in Week 15. The Jets give up the 8th most points to quarterbacks in fantasy. The Jets have given up multiple touchdowns to quarterbacks in 9 straight games. NINE straight games! Meanwhile, Tua has been playing great. He has multiple touchdowns in 2 of the last 3 games. Tua is for you-ah in Week 15.
$5,700 on DraftKings
$7,400 on Fanduel
Tua Tagovailoa has completed 80%+ of his passes in 3 of his past 5 starts. He's only the 4th QB in the NFL since 1950 (Kyler Murray, Drew Brees, Peyton Manning) to have back-to-back games w/ an 80%+ completion % after doing so in Week 11 at NYJ & Week 12 vs. CAR.
— Jason Sarney (@Jason_Sarney) December 14, 2021
Ben Roethlisberger
His arm looks like it is falling off. He said he is going to retire at the end of the season. He also has multiple touchdowns in 4 of the last 5 games. Last week Big Ben threw for 308 yards and 3 touchdowns. In Week 15 he plays the Titans who give up the 6th most points to opposing quarterbacks in fantasy. Quarterbacks have scored 24 touchdowns against the Titans this season. Ben will come up BIG again in Week 15.
$5,600 on DraftKings
$6,600 on Fanduel
Other quarterbacks for Week 15
Jalen Hurts
$7,800 on DraftKings
$8,100 on Fanduel
Aaron Rodgers
$7,500 on DraftKings
$7,600 on Fanduel
Matt Ryan
$5,300 on DraftKings
$6,500 on Fanduel
Running Backs
Myles Gaskin
In Week 11 Gaskin rushed for 89 yards, caught 3 passes for 7 yards, and scored a touchdown against the Jets. The Jets are the friendliest defense against running backs in fantasy scoring. That’s right they give up the most fantasy points to the position. The Jets have given up 23 touchdowns to running backs this season. TWENTY-THREE! In only one game this season did a running back not score a touchdown against the Dolphins and that was Week 1. I know Gaskin is in Covid protocol if he can’t go plugin Malcolm Brown who is coming back from IR. It is highly likely the Jets will give up the 24th touchdown to a running back this week.
$5,600 on DraftKings
$6,600 on Fanduel
Sony Michel
The Seahawks give up 98 yards and a touchdown rushing weekly to running backs and another 8 receptions for 70 yards to the position receiving. In Week 5 the Rams ran all over the Seahawks with both Sony and Darrell Henderson scoring touchdowns in that game. Henderson is out! The show is all for Sony this time around. Michel ma belle, these words go together well, at least in Week 15 they do.
$5,800 on DraftKings
$6,800 on Fanduel
Darrell Henderson could get the 2020 Ronald Jones treatment, huh
Come playoff time, Sony Michel may be 2020 Leonard Fournette
Not trying to hot take, Michel looks better and LAR has never seemed partial to Hendo
— Josh Larky ↗️ (@jlarkytweets) December 14, 2021
Javonte Williams
Williams has scored a touchdown in each of the last three games. The Broncos want to run the ball, and they do it well. Melvin Gordon is not going away, but both of these guys have been productive in this backfield together. I like Williams to find the end zone yet again. 10 times this running backs have scored against the Bengals, Williams will make it 11.
$6,100 on DraftKings
$7,000 on Fanduel
Other Running backs for Week 15
D’Onta Foreman
$5,200 on DraftKings
$5,800 on Fanduel
Eli Mitchell
$6,200 on DraftKings
$7,800 on Fanduel
Royce Freeman
$4,500 on DraftKings
$5,200 on Fanduel
Wide Receivers
Diontae Johnson
The Steelers play the Titans in Week 15. The Titans’ defense has given up an average of 15 receptions, 197 yards, and a touchdown per week to wide receivers. Wide receivers have scored 16 touchdowns against this Titans defense. Johnson has a 26% target share for the steelers on the season, along with a 30% of the receiving touchdowns and 33% share of the air yards. Diontae is the biggest Johnson, at least when it comes to catching passes for the Steelers.
$7,500 on DraftKings
$7,200 on Fanduel
Diontae Johnson is the WR 7 on the season in fantasy PPG.
He’s still too low in your rankings and in value pic.twitter.com/n1SmrAvrv5
— Luke Sawhook 🪚🪝 (@lukesawhook) December 11, 2021
Van Jefferson
In Week 5 Robert Woods scorched the Seahawks for 12 receptions and 150 yards. Jefferson is playing in the Woods role. The Rams will play the Seahawks in Week 15. It also appears that Odell Beckham Jr. will miss week 15. The passing tree for the Rams will be exceptionally concentrated on Cooper Kupp and Van Jefferson. Jefferson has scored a touchdown in each of the last three weeks. I like him a lot to score again in Week 15.
$5,600 on DraftKings
$6,200 on Fanduel
Brandin Cooks
In Week 14 Cooks saw 11 targets which he turned into 8 receptions and 101 yards. Cooks has a 26% target share for the Texans on the season. The Texans play the Jaguars in Week 15. I like Cooks to keep it rolling against the 11th friendliest defense to wide receivers in fantasy this week. The volume is there. Let’s go, Brandin!
$5,800 on DraftKings
$6,900 on Fanduel
Other Wide Receivers for Week 15
Deebo Samuel
$8,200 on DraftKings
$8,200 on Fanduel
CeeDee Lamb
$7,400 on DraftKings
$7,400 on Fanduel
Russell Gage
$5,800 on DraftKings
$6,000 on Fanduel
Tight Ends
Mike Gesicki
In Week 11 the Dolphins played the Jets and Gesicki had 5 receptions and 50 yards. In week 15 the Dolphins play the Jets again. The Jets are a bottom feeder defense against tight ends. The rank as the defense giving up the 8th most fantasy points to the position. Gesicki has an 18% target share for the Dolphins, I am liking him to produce this week at home.
$5,000 on DraftKings
$6,200 on Fanduel
George Kittle
The past two weeks Kittle has been a machine. With 9 receptions for 181 yards and 2 touchdowns in Week 13 against the Seahawks and 13 receptions for 151 yards and a touchdown in Week 14 against the Bengals. He saw 27 targets over this two-week period, good for a 40% target share in Week 13 and 37% target share in Week 14. This is insane volume. Taste the rainbow! sKittle!
$7,500 on DraftKings
$7,800 on Fanduel
Zach Ertz
The Cardinals play the Lions in Week 15. The Lions are a middle of the road defense against tight ends. But it appears Deandre Hopkins and James Conner may miss this game. There will be targets to go around to some other players and Ertz has proven to be reliable. Ertz plays 83% of the snaps and has a 10% target share on the season. He will be involved in Week 15.
$5,400 on DraftKings
$5,300 on Fanduel
Other Tight Ends for Week 15
Evan Engram
$3,100 on DraftKings
$5,000 on Fanduel
Albert Okwuegbunam
$3,300 on DraftKings
$5,200 on Fanduel
Dawson Knox
$5,100 on DraftKings
6,500 on Fanduel
Heart Breakers
Quarterbacks
Cam Newton
The Bills have the number 1 defense against quarterbacks in fantasy. Cam has looked to be just ok so far as being a fantasy-relevant option. He is someone you should be avoiding in DFS at all costs. He could give you 20 points just as easily as get replaced by P.J. Walker.
Jared Goff
I am fairly certain you don’t need me to tell you not to play Goff. Obviously I am telling you that anyways. You may have got excited because Goff has thrown for 6 touchdowns in the past three games. Don’t be excited. The Cardinals are the third stingiest defense when it comes to quarterbacks. The Lion’s passing game is a mess.
Joe Burrow
The Broncos are a very good real-life defense. The Broncos are also top 5 against quarterbacks in fantasy. Burrow has been very consistent and even good against some tough competition this season. But this is a tough defense that he is playing against in Denver. I am avoiding in DFS.
Running Backs
Leonard Fournette
The Saints are the best defense against running backs out there. The bottled Fournette up in Week 8 where he only had 43 total yards. Is it possible for Fournette to have a great game in Week 15? Yes. Is it likely that he has a great game in Week 15? No. The Saints have not given up 100 yards rushing to an opposing running back all season.
Najee Harris
The second-best defense against running backs is the Titans. The Titans have only given up one 100 yard rushing game this season. The Titans also give up only 37 yards receiving to running backs weekly. It will be tough going for Najee in Week 15.
Saquon Barkley
Heart breakers were easy this week for me as the matchups were so simple to call out. The third toughest defense against running backs is the Cowboys. The Giants play the Cowboys in Week 15. Factor in how pathetic the Giants have been and it’s easy to say do not play Barkley in DFS at all. I have him going in season long, but I don’t feel warm and fuzzy about it at all.
Wide Receivers
DJ Moore
The Bills are legit very tough against the pass as I have mentioned when calling out Cam Newton as a heart breaker. Moore has looked pretty good the past 3 games. He has double-digit fantasy scores in each. I am not playing Moore anywhere in DFS. Stay away.
Adam Humphries
In Week 15 the Washington Football Team will be playing the Eagles. You will be tempted to play Humphries as it appears that Terry McLaurin will miss the game. Stop right there. Humphries has been getting more involved in the WFT offense but the Eagles give up the third-fewest points to wide receivers in fantasy. Look elsewhere.
Stefon Diggs
The Carolina Panthers give up the 5th fewest points to wide receivers in fantasy. They are a good real-life defense. They defend wide receivers well. I like the Bills attacking in the slot with Dawson Knox and Cole Beasley here.
Tight Ends
TJ Hockenson
The Cardinals are the second-best defense against opposing teams’ tight ends. Hockenson is dinged up, he has been up and down this season and the match-up is bad. If you want to roll him out there, please do it at your own peril.
Kyle Pitts
Pitts has had a superb rookie season. But only 1 tight end has over 90 yards against the Niners and only four have scored touchdowns. The Niners give up the 4th fewest points to tight ends in fantasy. That means bad things this week for Pitts. This is the pits!
Thanks for checking out Money Maker and Heart Breakers. For more great content from The Undroppables, follow us on Twitter, follow @MikeReedyFF for more great content, and visit back soon for Mike’s weekly Untangling the Wire.
